“That’s a 40% production cut.”
“Your model is linear elastic. Abaqus just ran a with a critical state soil model. The Mohr-Coulomb failure envelope you’re using doesn’t account for the rotation of principal stresses during depletion. Abaqus did.” Abaqus For Oil Gas Geomechanics Dassault Syst Mes
“What’s your fix?” Marcus asked.
“Two-stage gravel pack. But you have to re-perforate 300 feet uphole, where the minimum horizontal stress is higher. And you need to reduce drawdown from 2,500 psi to 1,200 psi for the first six months.” “That’s a 40% production cut
“We ran our in-house model,” Marcus shot back. “It says elastic, no failure.” Abaqus did
“Elena, I have a drillship on a day rate of $450,000. If you tell me to stop, I lose three million before breakfast. If you’re wrong and the well collapses…” He didn’t finish the sentence.